Thursday, March 31, 2011

‘Sunset Park’ by Paul Auster, Plus One


Paul Auster is one of my literary heroes and remains so even after this novel.  He is a writer whose every sentence drives the narrative forward, who delivers up vivid characters in just a few sentences, who can write convincing dialogue without quotation marks or “he saids,” “she saids,” and who writes with purpose.  Every book is masterful and worthy of careful study. There’s a puzzle in each one; each is as enigmatic as ‘Book of Illusions.’[1]  Mastery, I guess, is what happens when you’ve been at it for four decades.
I think ‘Sunset Park’ is not his best work, but that’s not to say it’s not good.  I’ve learned that there’s always much more than meets the eye in an Auster novel and I’d fault myself for being obtuse before I spoke ill of his work.  His dissection of the movie, ‘The Best Years of Our Lives,’ the classic 1946 story of three men returning home from war, is brilliant and insightful. That alone is good reason to read ‘Sunset Park.’  By coincidence, I had just seen this classic film, so it was fresh in my mind.
‘Sunset Park’ opens with Miles Heller, a 27-year-old man working in Florida on a ‘trashout’ crew—men hired to clear out foreclosed, abandoned homes of whatever its former occupants left behind.  Mostly, it’s broken toys, trash bags and burned out pots left on the stove; but occasionally it’s computers, DVD players and flat screen TVs.  Sometimes the houses look like the occupants just walked away from a half-eaten breakfast; more often they are trashed by the owners—missing stoves, sinks, and stripped of wiring and copper pipes.  Miles takes lots of pictures of what he finds, although he can’t say exactly why.  Maybe they hold the key to the lives lived there, a symbolic connection to the life he left behind in New York City seven years earlier.
Reading an old copy of ‘The Great Gatsby’ in the park on his day off, he meets and falls in love with a young Cuban-American high school student, Pilar Sanchez. Sitting on a blanket nearby, Pilar catches his eye and laughs, pointing at her book jacket, gesturing that they are both reading the same book.  And, so, a relationship begins.  We soon learn that Pilar’s parents are dead, killed in a car crash, and she lives with three older sisters.  As we’ll soon discover, the oldest, Angela, is trouble.  Eventually, Pilar moves into Miles’s apartment and Miles, realizing how incredibly smart Pilar is, tutors her and encourages her to apply to several northeastern colleges.  He is confident she could win a scholarship.
There are just two problems; Pilar is underage and her oldest sister, Angela, dislikes Miles or, at least, takes a predatory interest in him.  Angela works as a cocktail waitress and, according to Pilar, “sometimes sleeps with customers for money.”  Sensing an opportunity to blackmail Miles, Angela pulls him aside after a dinner with the family and confronts him with the fact that Pilar is underage – “one call to the cops and your toast, my friend” – and demands he deliver to Angela the trash-out plunder for her and her associates to fence.  At first, feeling trapped, Miles complies, delivering a flat screen TV and a few other things, but eventually, he refuses.  One morning, as he was leaving for work, Angela’s friends corner him, punching him, “a cannonball of a punch” hard in the stomach to make clear they will be less gentle if he continues to refuse.  Miles decides his only recourse is to leave Florida until Pilar turns eighteen, about five months from now.  He gives Pilar most of his savings to cover her expenses so she can remain in the apartment until she turns eighteen and graduates from high school, at which time it will be safe for Miles to return.  Miles retreats to Brooklyn.
Back-story.  Miles Heller is the son of a New York publisher, Morris.  Morris Heller, now in his early 60s, started Heller Publishing at a time when it was possible to discover and publish unknown writers.  Morris owes much of his success to his father, who put up the money to start his business, and to those few writers he discovered years earlier—writers whose most productive years now are behind them, not necessarily because of diminished talent, just the inevitable consequence of growing old.  (Does Auster identify with these men?) 
Miles’s mother, Mary-Lee Swann, having sensed that motherhood would be the end of a promising acting career, left Miles and his father shortly after he is born.  Since then, she achieved fame on stage and film.  Contact is intermittent but not embittered.  Two years after she abandoned them, Miles’s father married Willa Parks, an English professor.  Willa was married before and has a son, Bobby, about Miles’s age.  When they were in high school, Bobby was hit and killed by a car while walking on a mountain road.  Bobby, happy-go-lucky and careless, had run out of gas.  The boys argued and Miles, exasperated, pushed Bobby.  The circumstances of Bobby’s death lead, circuitously, to Miles flight four years later at the end of his third year at Brown.  Miles, “…still can’t decide if he is guilty of a crime or not.”  (Auster’s ambiguous framing of Bobby’s death – Bobby’s lackadaisical attitude, the polar opposite of Miles’s; a typical step-brotherly love-hate relationship; Mile’s irritation leading up to the death; the coincidence of a car barreling down a mountain road at just the wrong instant; and for Miles, “… what is important … is to know if he heard the car coming toward them or not …” – are all pure Paul Auster.  I can’t imagine a book of his that didn’t place the reader on the knife-edge of ambiguity.)   However, as much as it affected him, it wasn’t the accident itself that sent Miles wandering, it was overhearing years afterwards his parent’s fraught conversation about him and the guilt this evinced.
Leaving no word of his whereabouts and, now, gone for more than seven years, Miles maintains a correspondence only with an old New York high school friend, Bing Nathan.  Miles travels to the ski slopes of New Hampshire, to Chicago, to California and eventually to Florida, where we first meet him working on the trash-out team. 
The trash-out theme re-emerges later in the book in a more brutal form, but not before we meet several interesting characters, each deserving one or more chapters of their own. 
There’s Bing Nathan, “the only person who has known [Miles’s] various addresses over the years…,” and, who, without Miles knowing it, shared the letters with Miles’s father, Morris.  Oversized and flabby, an anarchist and sometimes member of a band called ‘Mob Rule,” Bing is the proprietor for the past three years of a tiny fixit shop in Brooklyn called the “The Hospital for Broken Things.”  Bing abhors modern technology and among the things he fixes are old manual typewriters favored by a few writers who live nearby.
Then there’s Ellen Brice, an artist who, during the course of the novel, gravitates towards drawing highly erotic images.  Temporarily at least, Ellen is seriously miscast in life as a Brooklyn real estate agent who, while showing Bing cheep Brooklyn apartments, steers him to an abandoned house – a dilapidated shack really – on a street facing Green-Wood Cemetery (later referred to as a “vast necropolis”) in the Sunset Park section of Brooklyn.  As if to confirm her own disaffection with Real Estate, when Bing decides to take over the abandoned house, “… like no other house he has seen in New York,” Ellen becomes one of Bing’s three housemates.  Ellen has suffered emotional instability, but “doesn’t want to go back on medication.  Taking one of the pills is like swallowing a small dose of death…”
Then there’s Alice Bergstrom, a doctoral student who recently left a job as adjunct at Queens College “teaching remedial and freshman English” at lower wages then if she worked at a car wash.  Now, living rent-free in the Sunset Park squat and working just fifteen hours a week for a non-profit called PEN (more about that later), Alice is able to devote more time to her thesis on “…the relations and conflicts between men and women as shown in books and films from 1945-1947…”   (It is at this point that Auster works in his analysis of the film ‘The Best Years of Our Lives.’)  Alice is visited intermittently, and at lengthening intervals, by her occasional, self-absorbed boyfriend, Jake Baum, an unappreciated writer of short stories who is drifting towards the realization that it isn’t woman who interest him most.
Millie Grant, housemate number four, has a relationship of sorts with Bing and then, inexplicably departs, thus making way for Miles, who, responding to Bing’s entreaties, joins the Sunset Park squat, which he views as a inexpensive, temporary alternative to paying New York rents or getting beat up or murdered by Angela’s friends in Florida. 
But, there’s a flaw in their thinking.  They all are certain that the overworked staff of the city housing department, which acquired the house after its owner defaulted on taxes, are stretched thin and have forgotten about a worthless, rundown house in Sunset Park.  What Bing and company didn’t count on is just how far a senseless spirit of vindictiveness will carry even the most overworked city agency when abetted by two violence-prone policemen.
Miles hasn’t contacted his father or mother for seven years.  Transformed and emboldened by his love for Pilar, Miles decides to comes to terms with the past and contact his parents; his California mother temporarily in New York appearing in an off-Broadway play, Samuel Beckett’s ‘Happy Days’[2]; his father at home in New York, but in and out, making frequent, unplanned trips to London, where his wife, Willa, who has become very ill, has been teaching a semester long class.
Of course, the central event here – the one that sets everything else in motion – is Bobby’s death and Miles’s unresolved guilt.  That the timing of Bobby’s death coincides roughly with 9/11 is interesting, but the events are not easily paired.  That the time frame of the story roughly parallels the Great Recession, bookended as it is between Miles trashing-out abandoned houses in Florida and the final scenes of the book, appears to be intentional.  One might even go so far as to suggest that, allegorically, Miles represents, with Bobby’s death, the national trauma that was 9/11 (did our actions trigger the attack somehow?); our collective ignorance of whatever deeper meaning is rooted there; the wildly irresponsible, go-out-and-shop, orgy of house-flipping that overtook the country; the subprime crash resulting in ‘trashing-out’ the homes of millions of Americans; and, just when recovery seemed possible and things looked like they are getting back to normal, another crash.  Yes, that double-dip hasn’t happened yet, but many people think that the political drift of the country all but ensures more trouble ahead.  While that certainly describes the arch of Miles’s experience, I am far from certain this is what Auster intended.  Another possibility just occurred to me.  Miles, young and feeling guilty and confused, is living the only life he could during these seven years.  He’s caught in a vortex of events he doesn’t understand, including his confusion about his culpability for a death.  He naively works to rekindles optimism about his future, finds love, reestablishes normalcy, then rudely, crushingly, realize that he has miscalculated once again.   What could be a better description of the confused lives Americans have lived these last ten years?  What could be a better prognosis of the hardships to come?
‘Sunset Park’ is the most topical and contemporary of Auster’s works in that it reflects and relies on recent and current events more than any other.  For instance, one of his characters, Alice Bergstrom, is working for an organization called ‘PEN Freedom to Write Program[3]’ and Auster devotes several pages to PEN’s mission.  He mentions Salman Rushdie, the death of a Norwegian publisher, Article 301 of the Turkish penal code, Burmese writers, the Patriot Act, the Campaign of Core Freedoms, Cuban writers, and, of course, Chinese writers such as Lui Xiaobo, the jailed Chinese democracy advocate and cowriter of something called Charter 08, and PEN’s cause celeb.  While I wholeheartedly support PEN’s mission, I’m not sure it serves his narrative well.   But, maybe that’s the price he was willing to pay in support of this worthy and, as Auster points out, grossly underfunded organization.
Then there’s the frequent references to baseball, a passion that historically ties Miles to his father and grandfather, a passionate interest in players who’s lives have taken unexpected, often tragic, turns.  Names like Boots Poffenburger, Herbert Jude Score and Lucky Lohrke.  If I followed the game more closely, this might have drawn me in more than it did, but I was struck with this sentence: “…baseball is a universe as large as life itself, and therefore all things in life, whether good or bad, whether tragic or comic, fall within its domain.”  I might add that man’s longing for certainty, for universes that can be comprehended and shared, is itself a universal longing.  Baseball is just one example.
There’s also the obvious references to the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the effects it has had on not only on the poor but the nation’s psyche; to the shabby treatment of adjunct professors; and to the state of publishing today, and publishers’ struggle to stay alive.  It occurred to me that Heller Publishing might be a surrogate for Auster’s long-time publisher, which is probably struggling.  Maybe Auster, trading on his reputation and the all but certain sales his books generate, wrote this book to help his publisher get through the recession.  As a reader who only frequents my local ‘independent’ bookstore, I for one am more than willing to oblige.
I’ll close with this quote from one of Auster’s characters, Renzo, a writer and lifelong friend of Mile’s father: “The interview is a debased literary form that serves no purpose except to simplify that which should never be simplified…”  I guess he might say the same about a book review.



‘Three Stations’ by Martin Cruz Smith

Martin Cruz Smith’s latest book does not measure up to his first big success, ‘Gorky Park’.  He tries to squeeze just one more story out of Arkady Renko, and it probably won’t be his last.  In this instance, Renko is a Moscow police detective on the verge of losing his job; in fact, the order is out to can him, so he is avoiding contact with his corrupt boss.  Renko pursues a murder case of a woman presumed to be a prostitute who was found in a seedy trailer at the point where three railroad stations terminate in Moscow.  But the evidence doesn’t add up and Renko’s pursuit leads him through a maze of corruption, but not very convincingly, including attempts on his life.  While there are lots of street level Moscow atmospherics, there are also abrupt cutaways and plot shifts that are less than satisfactory, as if someone else edited this novel for length and left a few too many clues on the cutting room floor. 
Sometimes you get the feeling that a writer and his publisher just need to boost their revenues by riding on their reputation of earlier successes.  They both knew Smith didn’t have to try too hard to make some serious dough.  I know, this sounds terribly cynical, but, hey!  On that score, ‘Three Stations’ succeeds beautifully.

[1] This is the title of an earlier book.  See my earlier post of Paul Auster’s book ‘Invisible.’  'Invisible' Review
[2] I’m not familiar with the play but suspect there’s a thematic connection here.
 

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Monday, March 28, 2011

Mal-Distribution: Reaching the Boiling Point?


Are we misreading what going on in the Mideast?  Or, to put it another way, are we missing its broader implications?  Is what we're seeing there a precursor of what we're likely to see here and in other countries in the future?   Are the spread of Wisconsin-inspired demonstrations related to the unrest we’re seeing elsewhere?  Are these revolutions the natural consequence of the mal-distribution of wealth?  
We're a country caught between two virtues, the virtue of Personal Responsibility –the idea that each person should make his own way in the world and control his own fortunes – and the virtue of Social Responsibility – the notion that we are all in this together and the wealth of the nation should devolve to the benefit of all, that we'd all be better off (even the wealthiest among us) if the wealth were distributed more equitably.
The challenge is to reconcile these two seemingly opposing virtues. 
I believe that the fundamental problem is that there just isn't enough work and that this will only get worse.  As the use of technology expands, jobs slowly disappear; work gradually becomes obsolete.[1]  Today, most workers are At-Will employees, with the employer holding all the cards.  Purchase new technology to displace personnel?  Great—Fewer people to feed and the government will pick up the tab.  Contrast this with the 1950s, when 28% of our workforce belonged to unions,[2] virtually all employed in the private sector.  But, such is the wealth of the nation that even the poorest will survive, somehow.  Look at Egypt where the majority live on two dollars a day.  Even they get by. 
As the divide between the rich and the poor grows, and it becomes harder for the rich to hide their fortunes, the unemployed and poor get angry.  They feel cheated.  Sometimes, as in Saudi Arabia, the government tries to buy off its people, but usually, by the time anger has boiled over, it’s too late.  You can put a lid on it, but it only boils all the harder.  As long as there have been revolutions, it has ever been so.[3]
Our system requires that we work or accept being poor.  But in the USA, there are five applicants for every job opening, and this is not likely to improve soon, if at all.  A college education is no longer a guarantee of employment.[4]  Time will tell whether today’s high unemployment is cyclical.  Evidence suggests it’s not.
The prevailing fiction is that the wealthy earn their money by the sweat of their brow and deserve to keep every penny.  However they gained their advantage, they're now in a position to leverage their power and resources to acquire even more of both without much personal effort, at a cost to our nation’s well-being.  The trend of the past ten years is indisputable; the rich have become much richer – 50% richer – while the rest of the population has lost ground; many, are far worse off.  Most would agree that, whatever the cause, for the good of the nation, this trend must be reversed.  But how?
The challenge is to get our leaders, most of whom are part of the privileged classes, to talk honestly about our problems without being drowned out by the chattering classes and a well-financed opposition.  Corporate influence in Washington and its ownership of the media ensures that the ideology that  favors wealth is in ascendance.  This must change.  We need to achieve a balance.
Our political leaders hide behind the popular illusion of American Exceptionalism, a fiction they contradict at their peril.  But what if it turns out that we’re not exceptional; that we’re just the same as everyone else, and what we're witnessing is a worldwide phenomenon, a quake with its epicenter at a fruit-stand in a small village in northern Tunisia that set off a tsunami that just hasn't reached our shores yet?  What then?
The only thing that prevents us from talking about these things is ideological stasis, and the fear of being wrong.  Stipulated: Democrats are wrong 80% of the time … and so are Republicans.  Now, let’s talk.
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[1]  See my previous blog post: In the Shrinking of a Pie      Further evidence: Census figures show that from April 1, 2000 to April 1, 2010 US population grew from 281,422,000 to 308,745,000, an increase of 27,323,000. In contrast, Bureau of Labor Statistics figures show that from April, 2000 to April, 2010 non-farm payrolls decreased from 131,660,000 to 130,162,000.  (No, everyone didn't suddenly decide to go into farming...)
[2] In 2003, 11.5% of workers are union members, three-fourths working in the public sector.  In 1954, virtually no public workers were union members. 
[3] For a brief historical perspective, see NYTimes: Every Revolution Is Revolution in Its Own Way

Monday, March 14, 2011

'In the Shrinking of a Pie' by Paul Schlieben


The Articles First

Here are links to three very interesting articles that relate, in a roundabout way, to the effects of technology on employment and education.  I’ll try to tie them together later.  Even if you have read them already, they are worth reading again.  (Also take the time to read the Reader’s Comments.  Often they are as interesting as the articles.) 
Last Two Jobs in America
The first article published in the NY Times on March 4, 2011, addresses the effects of technology on high-level jobs.  Apparently, the performance of the computer known as ‘Watson’ on the quiz show ‘Jeopardy’ caused more than a few people to wonder, “What’s next?”  The first example used in this article refers to something called 'e-discovery,' (law firms’ using software to examine thousands of legal documents that might take a team of lawyers weeks to research); the second example refers to the use of software to do computer chip design.  
Here’s the link:
That second article, a NY Times Op-Ed by Economist Paul Krugman, discusses the “hollowing out” of the middle class:
Op-Ed Columnist:  Degrees and Dollars and subtitled, 'The hollow promise of good jobs for highly educated workers.' 
And that leads me to the third article, which ties into the overall effects of these technological "advances" on education—the inevitable negative feedback loop.  That’s not the point raised in the article, but the inference is hard to ignore.  I would have titled this piece, "Preparing A Nation for Walmart," but Bob Herbert opted for:
Colleges deliver the education that students’ demand and, absent a vision for their own futures (the essential 'spark' that ignites a student’s ambition), that’s not saying much.   Students opt for fun.  Colleges, competing for seats in seats, are all too willing to oblige.  The inevitable result is that academic standards have eroded and most students who graduate lack, as Bob Hebert says, “critical thinking, complex reasoning and writing” skills.  The trend is clear; fun for all, no heavy lifting please, and college degrees to nowhere.
Paul Krugman rightly points out that the “idea that modern technology eliminates only menial jobs, that well-educated workers are clear winners, may dominate popular discussion, but it’s actually decades out of date.”

Getting At The Bigger Questions This Raises

I remember back when computer technology was emerging in the early 60's.  A common topic was to what degree, and how quickly, computers and robots would displace workers.  As it turned out, these worries were premature.  As more and more people were employed in the computer industry, these concerns faded.  For decades, there was a net increase in employment.  Even unskilled workers could find a job in IT.
Well, it turns out our worries were justified; we just had the timeframe wrong.  The efficiencies promised by technology took a lot longer to take root and, not until the recessions of the past decade enabled companies to layoff workers did it become clear that corporate America could shed jobs without adverse impact on profits.  In fact, profits in many industries increased dramatically.  As the economy recovers (driven more by foreign markets than our own) companies opt to invest in technology to forestall the need to rehire workers.
What has happened, in fact, is that computers, whose effects have been accelerated by high-speed communications, perform higher-level tasks formerly thought to be beyond their capabilities.  The result is fewer and fewer jobs, even for those with advanced degrees.  Call it the ‘Watson Effect.’
Think about this:  In 1997, an IBM computer called ‘Deep Blue’ beat the world chess champion, Garry Kasparov.  In the finite world of a two dimensional chessboard, this was relatively easy.  Fourteen years later, an IBM computer called ‘Watson’ achieved a far more ambitious task by beating, to an overwhelming degree, the two most successful ‘Jeopardy’ players ever.
‘Watson’ consists of 2500 ‘cores’ and fills a small room, but don’t let size fool you.   How long will it take for something that powerful to fit on a desktop?  If ‘Moore’s Law’ applies, the answer is about ten or fifteen years.  If you add the collaborative, parallel processing[1] potential of the Internet, the timeframe may be even shorter.  “Yes,” you say, “but that was just a parlor trick—a quiz show.”  No, it was powerful demonstration of the ability of computers to understand language and interpret complex, tricky questions.  For those of you who missed it, here’s a typical question[2]:
Q. “Kathleen Kenyon’s excavation of this city mentioned in Joshua showed the walls had been repaired 17 times.”
Watson’s answer (in less than 3 seconds): “Jericho.”
 In the past, computers and robots we’re employed to perform routine computations and data processing tasks.  Today they are able to do much more.  Think Google on steroids.  Then, think of that version of Google on steroids.

Workers Twitter while Rome Burns

We keep hearing the term "worker productivity" as if this were a measure of human output—as if people were actually working harder or smarter.  Politicians often applaud improvements in ‘worker productivity’ and brag about how productive American workers are.  (In politics, one must always pay homage to the fiction of American Exceptionalism, no matter how out of date that notion may be.)  How many times have you heard that “American workers are the most productive in the world?” 
What is this statistic really telling us?

The Technology Productivity Index

I’m sure there are some people who are working harder, especially in organizations that have suffered drastic staffing cuts, but I can assure you that many more spend a significant part of their workday surfing the web, updating their Facebook pages, reading newsfeeds and Twittering, (“In my cubie … this job sux.  Tx God for Angry Birds!”).  
No, what the ‘worker productivity index’ really measures is the degree to which technology has supplanted people.  Or, as Paul Krugman puts it, “technological progress is actually reducing the demand for highly educated workers.”  It’s hollowing out job opportunities for the majority of the middleclass. 
 Did you realize that personnel costs are now just 12% of the cost of manufacturing a car?  And that’s not just on the manufacturing floor.  I don’t have the percentage from 10 years ago, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was close to 50%. (I’m looking for it.  Any help here?)  Check any manufacturing plant today.  What you see are robots, not people.  The few people still employed are in engineering or behind glass partitions, monitoring the robots[3].  Personnel costs are no longer a factor in determining where to site an auto plant, markets are.  We don’t outsource jobs because labor costs are too high; we outsource to build product closer to those who will buy them or to avoid tariffs or for myriad other reasons. (Only industries that still rely on thousands of skilled workers, like clothing and shoes, outsource jobs because of labor costs.)
Instead of a worker productivity index, a more accurate description would be "technology productivity index”. This would drive home the reality of most industries today—the degree to which technology is elbowing people out of their jobs.

How Does This Relate to the Quality of Education?

This part demands that you pretend you are a high school or college student with no experience and your whole life in front of you.  (For the time-being, pretend also that you couldn’t find Chicago on a map.  Now you got empathy!)  How would you view your prospects in a country that has lost more than 6.5 million manufacturing jobs since 2000?  Oh sure, you’re an exceptional student – you even know where Afghanistan is – and you intend to go into medicine or finance (neither one of which actually produces anything useful.  From a business perspective, they’re expenses, not revenue.)  Bear with me.  I’m talking about the average student, the fat belly of the bell-shaped curve.  Maybe your father or uncle worked in construction or as a machinist.  Today, it is likely they are unemployed or working a job that pays much less.  But somehow, your parents saved enough for you to attend a state college, or their low income entitled you to student loans[4] and Pell Grants.  But, remember—essentially, you’re clueless.  You don’t know what you’re going to do and you don’t have much ambition.  You’ve been told that your lifetime earnings will be much greater with a college degree, and your loving parents want to see you succeed, so off you go.   “I just need that degree,” you think, “That’s my ticket to the good life.  And college will be a blast.  And if I don’t go, then what?  But, just don’t make it too hard.”  Not to worry.
Students may not be sophisticated, but they can’t miss obvious signs of a declining job market.  They are swimming against the tide of demotivation, spinning in the vortex of “No Help Wanted” signs.  They see unemployed parents and neighbors; they see the underemployed now working part-time for $10 an hour, displaced from jobs that paid three or four times that much a decade ago.  They see jobs going offshore or disappearing into thin air. 
Really good students (like you) will do just fine, but the fat of the bell-curve will have a hard time visualizing a rosy future for themselves.  You’ll opt for the gut courses, just to get that degree. 
Why is it that today only 75% of high school students graduate from high school?   Why do more girls graduate from college than boys?  Sloth, you say?  Grand Theft Auto?  Drugs and alcohol?  Yes, they contribute.  But stop.  What are the best motivators?  Is it the prospect of a rich and rewarding life, and a belief that it is attainable if you work hard?  That’s when distractions hold less sway.  An imagined life, one that marries aptitude, opportunity and prestige, is what makes the difference between being easily distracted or motivated to learning.  Without such a vision, you have today’s high college dropout rates.  Less than 50% of male college freshman graduate.
Could a factor be that jobs that were traditionally dominated by men, like in manufacturing, have disappeared?   Gender is less a determinant of success for today’s jobs.  Women and men are equally adept at most jobs.  In fact, I can think of many reasons why men may not perform as well, like stereotype-conflicted self-esteem, masculine expectations and testosterone (born out by my own observations in business.) 
So, here you are; your male mentors are shuffling around complaining life is unfair and it’s all those Republicans’… Democrats’… Bankers’ … Socialists’ … Corporate elites’ fault, but, at the same time, your parents expect you to ignite that spark of ambition that will launch you into a really high-paying career.  “Doing what?” you ask.  “Well, something will come along… some exciting new technology like the Internet or renewable energy will light your fire.”  Trouble is, on a macroeconomic level, those new technologies are likely to hollow out more of the middle class by elbowing aside more workers.  Think about the effects of the Internet on retail, where a website can eliminate the need for retail outlets and the function of bricks and mortar is reduced to marketing, useful for driving people to a website.  Don’t think Apple builds stores to sell computers.  They build them to sell image.  Most people buy technology on the web.
While I agree with Paul Krugman's analysis, I’m not ready to accept his solutions.  I think expanding education opportunity; collective bargaining and tax reform (where the rich pay a greater share) will only take you so far.  They’re stopgaps, necessary, perhaps, but not farsighted and, in today’s political climate, not very realistic.  Looking further into the future, it's hard to imagine how 7-9 billion people will be productively employed.
In the 50s, the question about where the explosion of computer technology might lead was academic; today it’s anything but.  Is the workforce doomed to be unemployed or underemployed?  If you look at the trends of the last 60 years, and in particular, the last decade, it’s hard to conclude otherwise.  We read about Americans loosing high-paying jobs who are now either unemployed or working for $10 an hour, without benefits.  The underemployment[5] rate in the US is about 18%[6].  We read that real wages of middleclass workers (adjusted for inflation) have been stagnant for the past 10 years.  Is work becoming obsolete?   More and more of our nation’s resources are being directed towards projects that will increase the wealth of a few, with the unintended consequence of impoverishing the many.  

What’s the Endgame? 

Nice Ride, but where are we headed?
The pie is shrinking.  What’s left of the pie is being consumed by those who own a seat at the table.  The rest are left fighting over the crumbs.  I don’t intend this to be a political diatribe railing against wealth or dividing the world between the haves and have-nots. Circumstances are accomplishing that all on their own, people are just doing what people do.  This is an attempt to understand the factors at work: to understand trends over a span of decades and what they tell us about the future.  I don’t blame those who have been successful and find themselves on the winning side.  I’ve been more fortunate than I could have ever imagined.  It’s just that the long-term consequences are likely to be very ugly if we don’t figure out where we’re headed.
The stark reality is this: If you are not in a position to control the production of wealth, you will be out of a job or minimally employed to the degree that you make just enough to consume what’s necessary to keep the engine running—for most of the middleclass, that means running on idle.
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